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KOL Views
This indicator selection comes from the recommendation of KOLs on the market.
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163530
402271
Signals
Jun
30
Friday
KOL Views
Messari Research’s Ryan Selkis: ETF Conversion Would Eviscerate Grayscale's Revenue by More Than 50%
KingData News: While Grayscale has filed a lawsuit against the SEC to try to force their hand to change this, Messari Research’s Ryan Selkis has laid out a few scenarios in a note that he sees as possible outcomes for this quagmire. Should GBTC be converted to an ETF, it would be a massive loss in fee revenue for Grayscale as the firm takes a 2% fee on the underlying assets regardless of the discount. “A ‘winning’ case and ultimate ETF conversion would eviscerate Grayscale's revenue by more than 50%. An ETF would mean an open redemption window, and a likely reduction in fees in order to retain AUM (assets under management). We’re talking about $200 million+ per year in profit reduction for DCG,” Selkis wrote. “What's interesting is that there's a non-zero chance that the SEC blocks Grayscale purely out of spite, and because they don't want to reward what they view as historically bad behavior,” Selkis wrote. The bad Grayscale Trade was 3AC’s first step toward insolvency. 3AC owned a huge chunk of GBTC with leverage — up to 6% of the trust at one point.” (CoinDesk)
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KOL Views
CryptoQuant CEO: Most People Haven't Left the Crypto Market, They Are Waiting for the Bottom
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju tweeted, "Everyone is talking about bearish things, but most of them haven't left the crypto market. They're just waiting for the bottom. Bitcoin marketcap decreased by -70% from the top while stablecoin went down by just -11%. Stablecoins sitting in exchanges are now worth half of #Bitcoin reserve. We have $25B loaded bullets which can make crypto asset prices go up. The question is when, not how."
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KOL Views
Deutsche Bank Sees Bitcoin Returning to $28,000 by Year-End
KingData News: Given how closely it has been trading with US stocks, Bitcoin could reach as high as $28,000 by the end of the year, according to an analysis from Deutsche Bank. Cryptocurrencies have been -- since November -- increasingly correlated to benchmarks like the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500, the analysis by Laboure and Pozdnyakova suggested. The bank’s strategists predict the S&P will recover to January levels by year-end and Bitcoin may come along for the ride. (Bloomberg)
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Jun
28
Wednesday
KOL Views
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler :Bitcoin Is the Only Cryptocurrency That Is a Commodity
KingData News: In an interview on CNBC, SEC Chairman Gary Gensler said that Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency that he considers a commodity.He will not specifically discuss other crypto tokens other than Bitcoin.Previously, CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam considered Ether to be a commodity in addition to Bitcoin.
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Jun
24
Saturday
KOL Views
SkyBridge’s Scaramucci: Bitcoin Is ‘Technically Oversold’
KingData News: Given bitcoin’s (BTC) widening use in an increasing number of areas and the exponential growth of wallet activity, the crypto is “technically oversold” at current levels, SkyBridge founder Anthony Scaramucci said Thursday in a speech at the Collision conference in Toronto. Scaramucci said investors may look back and recognize bitcoin being a “very cheap asset that we can take advantage of because of certain people being over-levered in the system.” He said he was initially skeptical about bitcoin, though discussions years ago around digitizing the U.S. dollar spurred his interest in blockchain technology. SkyBridge has launched various bitcoin-related funds, and also tried to garner approval for a spot bitcoin ETF, which was rejected by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). (CoinDesk)
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Jun
23
Friday
KOL Views
Binance Founder: Bitcoin Price May Not Break All-Time Highs in the Near Term
KingData News: Changpeng Zhao, founder and chief executive of Binance, said people would have been “very happy” four years ago had they been told that bitcoin would be trading at $20,000 in 2022. Bitcoin could stay below its historical high of $69,000 for the next two years after the latest digital asset market rout。 “I think given this price drop, from the all-time high of 68k to 20k now, it will probably take a while to get back. It probably will take a few months or a couple of years,” Zhao told the Guardian, adding that “no one can predict the future”.
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Larry Cermak: Alameda Never Tweeted
KingData News: In response to rumors circulating in the community that Multicoin Capital and Alameda Research had recently emptied their Twitter feeds, Larry Cermak, vice president of research at The Block, said, "Multicoin tweeted in 2017 and then deleted everything in 2018 I think. Alameda never tweeted."
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KOL Views
U.s. House of Representatives: Digital Dollar Will Ensure That The Dollar Becomes a Global Reserve Currency
KingData News: In a white paper, U.S. Rep. Jim Himes said the digital dollar would support the dollar's role as a global reserve currency, could support underbanked individuals and could be more creditworthy than stablecoins issued by private companies. The white paper says that CBDCs will have advantages over privately issued stablecoins and crypto assets, most notably the ability to be backed by U.S. government credit like traditional cash, and will provide holders with a degree of security. In addition, CBDC may pose a risk to privacy or security as well as broader monetary policy. jim Himes recommends that the Federal Reserve experiment with privacy and encryption tools to protect consumer data.
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Jun
21
Wednesday
KOL Views
Plan B:S2F model certainly had a good run from Mar2019 to Mar2022
KingData News: In response to Vitalik's criticism, Plan B replied: "S2F original 2019 model (grey) and newest fit on most recent data (white dots). S2F model certainly had a good run from Mar2019 (BTC 4K) to Mar2022 (BTC 45K). For now: either BTC is extremely undervalued and will bounce back soon, or S2F will be less useful in the future." Previously, Vitalik tweeted that "Stock-to-flow is really not looking good now. I know it's impolite to gloat and all that, but I think financial models that give people a false sense of certainty and predestination that number-will-go-up are harmful and deserve all the mockery they get."
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Elon Musk: A Recession in the US Is Inevitable at Some Point
KingData News: Elon Musk spoke at the Qatar Economic Forum, saying that "a recession in the US “is inevitable at some point,” he said. “As to whether there is a recession in the near-term, that is more likely than not.” In response to Tesla job cut issues, Musk said, “Tesla is reducing its salaried workforce roughly 10% over the next three months or so. We expect to grow our hourly workforce. We grew very fast on the salaried side, grew a little too fast in some areas.” Supply constraints are the biggest brake on Tesla’s growth, rather than competition from rival automakers, as Musk pointed out. “Our constraints are much more in raw materials and being able to scale up production,” he said. (Bloomberg)
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KOL Views
Market Sentiment Around BTC Appears to Have Shifted From Fear to Capitulation
Analyst Ali Martinez tweeted, "The market sentiment around Bitcoin appears to have shifted from “Fear” to “Capitulation” after $BTC dropped to $20,800. This represents the last stage of a bearish cycle before the market sentiment shifts into “Hope” to signal the beginning of a new bull market."
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KOL Views
Michael Saylor: Over 19,000 Cryptocurrencies Must Be Viewed as Unregistered Securities
KingData News: Microstrategy CEO Michael Saylor argues the over 19,000 cryptocurrencies and digital tokens in circulation must be viewed as “unregistered securities” that cannot be likened to a hard commodity like Bitcoin—which has no issuer, no management, no employees, no product cycle and only a finite supply. Speaking in a webcast with NorthmanTrader founder Sven Henrich, Saylor said Bitcoin was being caught in the crossfire of a collapsing crypto market since it often served as collateral on margin loans for less proven tokens. “What you have is a $400 billion cloud of opaque, unregistered securities trading without full and fair disclosure, and they are all cross-collateralized with Bitcoin,” he argued He added mainstream financial institutions often won’t touch an asset like Bitcoin “because of the slime that gets onto the asset class from all the unregistered securities." He also cited crypto hedge funds like Three Arrows Capital, or 3AC, as a hindrance rather than a facilitator to cryptocurrency adoption. (Fortune)
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Jun
20
Tuesday
KOL Views
SBF Says Fed Is Driving Current
KingData News: Cryptocurrencies are going through a spectacular crash and the head of one of the largest crypto exchanges says the Federal Reserve is responsible for this downturn. "The core driver of this has been the Fed," said Sam Bankman-Fried, the CEO of FTX, whose app and sites are used by investors to buy and sell digital currencies. The Fed is raising interest rates aggressively to fight high inflation, and that has led to a "recalibration" of expectations of risk, Bankman-Fried told NPR. The billionaire said he appreciates the difficulty of what the central bank is trying to do, noting it is "caught between a rock and a hard place." But Bankman-Fried said a lot of his own outlook for his business is now dependent on decisions the Fed will make in the months ahead. Bankman-Fried suggested the fallout could shape crypto regulation, which is being hotly debated in Washington. He said it is likely there will be increased scrutiny of how leverage is used in the crypto industry, and how transparent companies are about potential dangers. "I do feel like we have a responsibility to seriously consider stepping in, even if it is at a loss to ourselves, to stem contagion," SBF said.
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BitMEX Founder Expects More Forced Selling of BTC and ETH
KingData News: BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes tweeted: "BTCC - Purpose ETF puked 24,500 $BTC into the North American Friday close. Over the weekend, while the fiat rails are closed, $BTC dropped to a low of $17,600 down almost 20% from Friday on good volume. Smells like a forced seller triggered a run on stops. Given the poor state of risk management by cryptocurrency lenders and over generous lending terms, expect more pockets of forced selling of $BTC and $ETH as the market figures out who is swimming naked."
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Ecoinometrics: This Drawdown Is Not As Severe, But Can Always Get Worse
Crypto Analyst @ecoinometrics tweeted: "It took almost 7 years to the SP500 to recover from the dotcom bubble. It took more than 5 years to the SP500 to recover from the Great Recession. Right now this drawdown is not as severe. But it can always get worse."
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Jun
15
Thursday
KOL Views
Larry Cermak: Nansen Removed Wallet Addresses on Three Arrows Capital
KingData News: Larry Cermak, vice president of research at The Block, tweeted that Nansen removed the Three Arrows Capital token from address 0x4093fbe60ab50ab79a5bd32fa2adec255372f80e, "I'm almost sure it's not their wallet." It is reported that the address has 212,000 ETH pledged in Aave, and the liquidation line is around $1020.
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KOL Views
Bill Gates Dismissed Crypto Projects as Shams Based on the Greater Fool Theory
KingData News: Billionaire Bill Gates dismissed cryptocurrency projects such as nonfungible tokens as shams “based on the greater-fool theory” at a climate conference Tuesday, reviving past criticisms of digital assets. “Obviously, expensive digital images of monkeys are going to improve the world immensely,” Gates said sarcastically while speaking at an event in Berkeley, California hosted by TechCrunch. He said he’s neither long nor short the asset class. (Bloomberg)
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KOL Views
3AC Sold 33,000 ETH In the Last 48 Hours to Repay Debts
KingData News: On June 15, according to crypto KOL Onchain Wizard, the 3AC address tagged by Nansen (0x4093fbe60ab50ab79a5bd32fa2adec255372f80e) is actively repaying its debt, taking out USDT/USDC with ETH to USDT/USDC via the address "sinofate.eth" and then repay it. In the last 48 hours, about 33,000 ETH have been sold at this address. The address still has 211,999.23 aWETH (worth $238 million) of collateral positions on Aave V2 and a total of about $183 million USDC+USDT in borrowed debt.
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