Macroeconomic Hotspots Interpretation

Apr 07,2023
# bet big and walk away # Short term : U.S. stock tailwind = long-only hedge fund cash level highest in the last 15 months + TGA positioning Crypto headwind = regulation, especially in case of Binance + Ethereum upgrade 12th April Mid term : Revenue declines beginning to price in Long term : Recession headwind will appear during the Q3 = excess saving dried up, hence pressure on consumption + CRE and residential housing decline, negative wealth effect By the time that recession narrative becomes reality, we will buy the generational low. Junjie @Yvonne19_1
An in-depth look at inflation trends, monetary policy, commodities, derivatives flows and geo-factors. On the one hand, crypto assets are increasingly part of the global macro map, but crypto asset prices react more slowly to macro factors than traditional markets, with information gaps and scope for arbitrage. On the other hand, macro liquidity is like gravity to the price of risky assets, with medium to long-term price movements ultimately reflecting macro liquidity. This indicator provides a real-time interpretation of macroeconomic hotspots. It facilitates users to understand the cycle more clearly and understand the macro fundamentals. By #Junjie @Yvonne19_1
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